BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 247 Overall: (23-13) Overall Strength =   26.62
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (12-8) | District: 1-02 Record: (21-11)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2024 Home    W      21.67  98  62   ZZ 204 ( 0- 2) Notre Dame MD          -4.47 *   40.47                      
 2 11-08-2024 Away    L      23.44  52  86    1   9 (27- 9) Maryland               -2.71 *  -31.29                      
 3 11-13-2024 Away    W   *  35.34  93  89 2  1 232 (18-15) Bucknell                9.19     -5.19                      
 4 11-16-2024 Home    W   *  27.02  66  58    1 305 (15-18) St Francis PA           0.88      7.12                      
 5 11-20-2024 Away    L   *  14.52  51  79    1  85 (18-16) Georgetown            -11.62    -16.38                      
 6 11-23-2024 Home    W   *  30.90  76  66    1 306 (16-14) Delaware St             4.75      5.25                      
 7 11-30-2024 Away    W   *  30.10  79  75    1 321 (12-20) Howard                  3.95      0.05                      
 8 12-06-2024 Away    L * *  25.11  50  53    1 273 (20-10) Marist                 -1.04     -1.96                      
 9 12-08-2024 Home    W * *  23.57 101  94    1 337 (12-20) Fairfield              -2.57      9.57                      
10 12-14-2024 Home    L   *  11.58  69  77    1 311 (12-19) Loyola MD             -14.56      6.56                      
11 12-18-2024 Away    W   *  34.38  80  72    1 297 (17-16) LIU Brooklyn            8.24     -0.24                      
12 12-21-2024 Away    W      38.46  78  74 1  1 163 ( 7-24) Miami FL               12.31     -8.31                      
13 12-28-2024 Away    L   *  34.09  56  64    1  88 (27- 9) George Mason            7.94    -15.94                      
14 01-05-2025 Home    W * *  24.64  68  62    1 320 (11-20) Niagara                -1.50      7.50                      
15 01-10-2025 Away    W * *  38.47  75  66    1 252 (17-14) Manhattan              12.32     -3.32                      
16 01-12-2025 Home    W   *  24.28  73  71    1 264 (15-18) Sacred Heart           -1.87      3.87                      
17 01-16-2025 Away    L * *  19.29  60  66    1 312 (14-19) Rider                  -6.86      0.86                      
18 01-18-2025 Home    L * *  -8.64  57  91    1 225 (20-13) Qunnipiac             -34.78      0.78                      
19 01-23-2025 Away    L * *  15.51  68  82    1 251 (14-18) Siena                 -10.64     -3.36                      
20 01-25-2025 Home    L * *  13.35  64  74    1 252 (17-14) Manhattan             -12.79      2.79                      
21 01-31-2025 Away    W   *  40.39  66  58    1 207 (18-15) Merrimack              14.24     -6.24                      
22 02-02-2025 Away    W * *  41.86  79  64    1 289 (12-16) St Peter's             15.71     -0.71                      
23 02-06-2025 Home    L * *  19.19  67  70 1  1 272 (17-17) Ioan                   -6.95      3.95                      
24 02-14-2025 Away    W * *  25.76  84  83    1 320 (11-20) Niagara                -0.39      1.39                      
25 02-16-2025 Away    W * *  24.91  73  66    1 353 ( 3-28) Canisius               -1.23      8.23                      
26 02-21-2025 Home    W * *  31.74  69  58    1 289 (12-16) St Peter's              5.60      5.40                      
27 02-23-2025 Home    W * *  26.17  79  72    1 312 (14-19) Rider                   0.03      6.97                      
28 02-28-2025 Away    L * *  15.69  62  69    1 337 (12-20) Fairfield             -10.46      3.46                      
29 03-02-2025 Home    W * *  29.39  85  79    1 251 (14-18) Siena                   3.25      2.75                      
30 03-06-2025 Away    L * *  22.48  70  79    1 225 (20-13) Qunnipiac              -3.67     -5.33                      
31 03-08-2025 Home    W * *  31.99  62  52    1 273 (20-10) Marist                  5.85      4.15                      
32 03-13-2025 Neutral W * *  29.05  62  58    1 273 (20-10) Marist                  2.90      1.10                      
33 03-14-2025 Neutral W   *  31.33  57  55    1 207 (18-15) Merrimack               5.19     -3.19                      
34 03-15-2025 Neutral W * *  39.25  63  49    1 272 (17-17) Ioan                   13.10      0.90                      
35 03-19-2025 Neutral W   *  37.20  83  72    1 254 (22-13) American Univ          11.06     -0.06                      
36 03-21-2025 Neutral L      17.76  49  93    1   1 (35- 4) Duke                   -8.38 *  -35.62                      
      Averages              26.15  70.1 70.5

Best game:   41.86 = 15 point win over St Peter's
Worst game:  -8.64 = 34 point loss to Quinnipiac
Team stdev:  10.11